Range Ranger
market / 94574 / simulate
Based on closed sales in ZIP 94574, your stated price of $1,512,500 has a 50% probability of selling within 233 days. What you do with this is your decision.
Redfin market data · Updated March 31, 2026
Your Pricing Strategy
Your stated price tagged as either “To sell”, “Competitive”, or “Above ask”.
Buyer Line
To sell
Competitive
Above ask
Clearing
Asking
Clearing is median closed sale price · Asking is median list price · Ranger’s Buyer Line is the price where buyer activity declines
Competitive
$1,512,500
50%
by day 161
Est. days on market
at this price
233
market median: 161
Carry cost delta
vs. Buyer Line
+$29,585
$1.21M reference
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Sale Probability Over Time
Probability of selling by day 161 by price scenario.
To sell
Buyer Line
Competitive
Pricing Scenario Comparison
Pricing scenario tradeoffs at 161 days.
To sell
$1,512,500
50%
$29,585 more carry cost
Buyer Line
$1,210,000
61%
Best odds for highest price
Competitive
$1,995,000
2%
$3,949,102 more carry cost
Carrying cost estimated at 0.6%/month of list price · Your actual costs may vary
If You Miss the Window
What likely happens if you don't sell by day 161.
2.6% sell after reducing to $1,210,000
97.4% expire or withdraw
Adjusted for your pricing strategy · Your experience may vary · Base rate: county data (Napa County)
What is the market telling you about your price?
Redfin market data · Updated March 31, 2026